Program & Agenda

Georgia in the Western and Russian Military Prism: "If" or "When"?
05.10.2020 Tbilisi, Georgia ugsp.ug.edu.ge
15:00 - 15:10
Welcome notes

Konstantine Topuria- Rector of the

University of Georgia

H.E Ambassador of the United States of America to Georgia Kelly C. Degnan

Greeting to the Student Simulation Team

NATO-Georgia: Membership, Military
Relevance and Article 5

Panel participants are invited to review in detail the military aspects of NATO-Georgia cooperation, ways the alliance can strengthen Georgia's self defense capabilities and deter Russia's aggressive actions on the ground. Conversely, the discussion will also cover the progress made by Georgian defense institutions while transforming, pitfalls and challenges revealed, implementation of nteroperability and resilience standards across military, government and society, as well as the force development strategies to meet best the Russian threat.

15:10-16:10
Moderator and Speaker James Black

Defence, Security and Infrastucture program, AND Europe

LTG (Ret) Ben Hodges

Pershing Chair in Strategic Studies, CEPA

Zygimantas Pavilionis

MP, Lietuvos Seimas

Dr. Emmanuel Dreyfus

Fellow Researcher, IRSEM

Dr. Ian Anthony

European Security Program, SIPRI

16:10-16:40

Discussion

Russia and the South Caucasus: Military Posture, scalation Risks and De-escalation Options

The main objective of the panel is to shed light on the military developments in the South Caucasus region, with the primary focus on the Russian military posture, dynamics and the analysis of its military capabilities on the ground. Participants will have to distill clear conclusions about the political/military (operational) objectives of Russia in the region, other non-military (so called hybrid) tools available in the arsenal and the potential consequences once fully implemented. Not least, the situation in the occupied regions of Georgia, Karabakh conflict, existing security arrangements and the possible scenarios of violent escalations, as well as options of the best de-escalation concepts and mechanisms (incl. EU and NATO contributions) constitute the core of the panel discussion.

16:45 - 17:45
Moderator Dr. Shalva Dzebisashvili

The University of Georgia

Dr. Sinikukka Saari

EU Institute for Security Studies

Jakob Hedenskog

Deputy Research Director, FOI

Dr. Mark Galeotti

RUST, UCLSSEES

Dr. Gustav Gressel

Wider Europe Programme, ECFR

Dr. Benyamin Poghosyan

Executive Director, Political Sciences Association of Armenia

17:45 - 18:15

Discussion

The Military and Political Aspects of the Black Sea Security

Whether Georgia's military reforms to meet NATO requirements or the Russian military footprint in the South Caucasus region, none of the particular military and military-political aspects can be reviewed in isolation, without the intensive application of the wider Black Sea security context. The effective installation of the Russian A2/AD in Crimea and the eastern shores of the Black Sea, the adherence of the freedom of navigation and the desire to bring more stability and security via more Europe and NATO in South Caucasus, inevitably opens door for a more complex, interdependent and multi-factorial analysis that brings multiple regions into play and links even more players across the Black Sea basin. Participants will be given the excellent opportunity to exchange their ideas and sharpen their analytical lens.

18:20 - 19:20
Moderator Rosaria Puglisi

Head of Mission, NATO Liaison Office (NLO) in Georgia

Dr. Michael Carpenter

Penn Biden Center for Diplomacy

Dr. Stephen J. Flanagan

RAND U.S. and Georgetown University

Dr. Dimitrios Triantaphyllou

CIES, Kadir Has University

Dr. Mustafa Aydin

President, International Relations Council of Turkey, Kadir Has University

Bruno Lete

Security and Defense Program, GMF

19:20 - 19:50

Discussion

19:55 - 20:10
Closing Notes and Student Simulation Findings

UG Security Platform